NZD/USD risks a drop to 0.6125 – UOB

In the opinion of UOB Group’s Economist Lee Sue Ann and Markets Strategist Quek Ser Leang, further selling pressure could drag NZD/USD to the 0.6125 region in the next few weeks.

Key Quotes

24-hour view: Our view for NZD to weaken further yesterday was incorrect. Instead of weakening, NZD rebounded to a high of 0.6215. We view the current movements as part of a consolidation phase. Today, we expect NZD to trade in a range between 0.6165 and 0.6230.

Next 1-3 weeks: We highlighted yesterday (24 Jul, spot at 0.6175) that improved downward momentum is likely to lead to NZD weakness to 0.6125. We continue to hold the same view, even though NZD could consolidate for a couple of days before heading lower. Overall, only a breach of 0.6255 (no change in ‘strong resistance’ level) would suggest the current downward pressure has eased.