28 Nov 2014
Euro inflation may decline to 0.1% in December – Danske
FXStreet (Barcelona) - The Danske Bank Research Team anticipates Euro inflation to decline to 0.1% in December due to the latest decline in Oil prices.
Key Quotes
“Euro inflation declined back to 0.3% y/y in November after 0.4% y/y in October. The latest decline in oil prices means that we currently expect inflation to decline to 0.1% y/y in December. That is very close to the deflation limit, and the pressure on the ECB continues to increase.”
“The decline was driven by lower energy price inflation, which was -2.5% y/y in November down from -2.0% y/y in October.”
“The very low energy price inflation is due to the sharp drop in oil prices since September. However, it does not include the latest decline after OPEC announced that it would not cut production in an effort to curb the drop in the oil price, and we expect energy price inflation to decline further in December.”
“Core inflation was unchanged at 0.7% y/y in November. Overall, core inflation is being kept low due to slack in the labour market, but is supported by the weaker euro as it gives higher imported inflation. Based on this, we expect core inflation will stay around current levels in coming months.”
Key Quotes
“Euro inflation declined back to 0.3% y/y in November after 0.4% y/y in October. The latest decline in oil prices means that we currently expect inflation to decline to 0.1% y/y in December. That is very close to the deflation limit, and the pressure on the ECB continues to increase.”
“The decline was driven by lower energy price inflation, which was -2.5% y/y in November down from -2.0% y/y in October.”
“The very low energy price inflation is due to the sharp drop in oil prices since September. However, it does not include the latest decline after OPEC announced that it would not cut production in an effort to curb the drop in the oil price, and we expect energy price inflation to decline further in December.”
“Core inflation was unchanged at 0.7% y/y in November. Overall, core inflation is being kept low due to slack in the labour market, but is supported by the weaker euro as it gives higher imported inflation. Based on this, we expect core inflation will stay around current levels in coming months.”