EUR/USD treading water around 1.06

FXStreet (Edinburgh) - After retreating to fresh multi-month lows near 1.0560 on Wednesday, EUR/USD has now retaken 1.06 and is looking to consolidate at current levels.

EUR/USD attention to EMU’s releases

The pair is extending its overnight sideline pattern into the European session today, amidst thin trade and scarce volatility due to the Thanksgiving Day holiday in the US.

EUR remains fragile and risks further downside however, as the European Central Bank could announce further easing measures at its meeting next month via a modification of the current QE programme or further rate cuts.

EUR/USD levels to watch

As of writing the pair is losing 0.10% at 1.0605 with the next support at 1.0519 (low Apr.13) en route to 1.0456 (2015 low Mar.16). On the upside, a breakout of 1.0829 (high Nov.12) would aim for 1.1058 (200-day sma).

EUR forecasts tweaked back down – NAB

Research Team at NAB is not overly bearish on the euro here, preferring to consider EUR/USD as more likely to be a 1.00 -1.10 currency rather than their previous characterisation as a 1.05 -1.15 pair.
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Euro to remain bearish with deeper deposit rate cut likely in store for ECB - BNPP

Economists at BNP Paribas, had revised their forecast for the ECB’s 3 December policy meeting, now expecting a 20bp deposit rate cut (from 10bp previously), in addition to a EUR 10bn increase in the monthly rate run of asset purchases and a 12m extension of the programme to September 2017.
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