Extended squeeze in EUR/USD - Rabobank

FXStreet (Delhi) – Piotr Matys, EM FX Strategist at Rabobank, notes that the squeeze in EUR/USD from last week’s low at 1.0803 extended to an intraday high of 1.0984 on Tuesday.

Key Quotes

“It seems that market participants have opted to trim their short positions ahead of the Christmas break in most European countries. That said, we expect EUR/USD to start leaning towards the year-to-date low at 1.0458 at the beginning of 2016.”

“The scale of a pullback in EUR/USD will not only depend on the monetary policy divergence between the US and the Eurozone, but on demand for risk. The more positive market sentiment, the softer the euro, which is used as a funding currency. In the meantime, European stocks are lacking clear direction as market participants are reluctant to get involved ahead of the Christmas break.”

GBP: Taking a beating as under-performance continues for now – MUFG

Derek Halpenny, European Head of GMR at MUFG, suggests that the increased focus on ‘Brexit’ as we wind down for the festive season continues to weigh on the pound with a notable gap opening up between the current EUR/GBP spot rate and the level implied by our short-term valuation model.
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USD to enter New Year on the front foot against Asian FX - BNPP

Mirza Baig, Research Analyst at BNP Paribas, suggests that after a year full of surprises, the Fed’s in-line message was welcome and they expect the USD to enter the New Year on the front foot.
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